Interim report for the third quarter of 2006

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Release number: 243 Release date: 15-11-2006
Release time: 08:15

The Supervisory Board of H. Lundbeck A/S today approved the Group´s interim report for the third quarter of 2006. Underlying growth in Lundbeck´s business outside the USA is satisfactory, but as in the two previous quarters, the consolidated financial performance is adversely affected by Forest Laboratories, Inc.´s reduction of in-house escitalopram inventories in 2006.

  • Third-quarter consolidated revenue amounted to DKK 2,248 million, a 1% decline relative to the year-earlier period (1% increase at CER).
  • Revenue derived from Europe amounted to DKK 1,362 million, a 6% increase over the year-earlier period (7% growth at CER). Revenue from International Markets amounted to DKK 350 million, a 12% increase (13% growth at CER).
  • Revenue from the USA amounted to DKK 482 million, a decline of 21% (18% decrease at CER), due to lower supplies of bulk escitalopram to Forest as part of Forest’s reduction of in-house escitalopram inventories. However, actual sales of Lexapro® in the US market rose by 12% in the third quarter of 2006 relative to the same period of last year. At 30 September 2006, inventories had been reduced to a level corresponding to approximately 11 months of commercial supply.
  • Profit from operations was DKK 630 million, an increase of 16% over the year-earlier period and more than double the figure achieved in the second quarter of 2006. In addition to the extraordinary decline in income from Lexapro® in 2006, Q3 profit from operations was influenced by low costs during the summer period.
  • The free cash flow amounted to DKK 405 million in Q3 2006.
  • In connection with the initial public offering of LifeCycle Pharma, in which Lundbeck currently holds 30.5% of the shares, Lundbeck's Q4 profit from operations will be impacted in the amount of DKK 141 million.
  • Lundbeck reiterates its full-year guidance of a profit from operations of approximately DKK 1.6 billion, excluding the financial gain from LifeCycle Pharma.

Financial highlights for the period

In respect of recognition and measurement, the interim report has been prepared in accordance with IFRS and related interpretations of International Accounting Standards Board (IASB), which are expected to apply for the presentation of financial statements for the full year 2006. The comparative figures have been restated due to the implementation of IAS 39 ”Financial instruments: recognition and measurement” at 1 January 2005. The interim report is unaudited.

 

Q3 2006 DKKm

Q3 2005 DKKm

Growth in DKK

Growth at CER

Q2 2006
DKKm

Revenue

2,248

2,265

-1%

1%

2,198

   - Cipralex®

878

693

27%

28%

856

   - Lexapro®

479

610

-21%

-18%

435

   - Ebixa®

339

292

16%

17%

337

   - Azilect®

19

2

954%

955%

17

   - Serdolect®

3

-

nm.

nm.

2

   - Other pharmaceuticals

475

613

-22%

-22%

495

   - Other revenue

54

56

-4%

-4%

58

Costs

1,618

1,722

-6%

-

1,930

   - Cost of sales

372

384

-3%

-

437

   - Distribution and administration

822

879

-6%

-

1,004

   - Research and development

420

459

-8%

-

488

   - Other operating expenses, net

4

1

760%

-

1

 

 

 

 

 

 

Profit from operations

630

543

16%

-

269

Net financials

20

21

-6%

-

-32

Net profit for the period

403

392

3%

-

141

Earnings per share, EPS (DKK)

1.92

1.75

10%

-

0.67

Free cash flow

405

444

-9%

-

-72

Number of employees (end of period)

5,110

5,047

1%

-

5,090


Revenue in Q3 2006
The Group generated Q3 revenue of DKK 2,248 million, which was a 1% drop relative to the same period of last year but an increase of 2% relative to Q2 2006. Adjusted for exchange rate fluctuations, Group revenue rose 1% relative to the year-earlier period.

Lundbeck Group revenue

 

Q3 2006
DKKm

Q3 2005
DKKm

Growth in DKK

Growth at CER

Q2 2006
DKKm

Cipralex®

878

693

27%

28%

856

Lexapro®

479

610

-21%

-18%

435

Ebixa®

339

292

16%

17%

337

Azilect®

19

2

954%

955%

17

Serdolect®

3

-

nm.

nm.

2

Other pharmaceuticals

475

613

-22%

-22%

495

Other revenue

54

56

-4%

-4%

58

Total revenue, Group

2,248

2,265

-1%

1%

2,198

The Group’s pharmaceuticals Cipralex® and Ebixa® (for the treatment of depression and Alzheimer’s disease, respectively) continued to grow combined with the recently launched pharmaceuticals Azilect® and Serdolect® (for the treatment of Parkinson’s disease and schizophrenia, respectively). Revenue derived from this group of pharmaceuticals rose by DKK 253 million relative to Q3 2005, more than compensating for the decline in sales of the Group’s other pharmaceuticals, which include citalopram and a number of mature antidepressants and antipsychotics.

Sales of other pharmaceuticals, of which approximately 60% in Q3 2006 derived from citalopram, have fallen by about DKK 30 million per quarter since 2005.

As expected, Forest’s reduction of its escitalopram inventories caused the Group to post a 21% decline in income from Lexapro® in the USA compared with the same period of last year.

Third-quarter sales of newer pharmaceuticals (Cipralex®/Lexapro®, Ebixa®, Azilect® and Serdolect®) made up 76% of the Group’s total revenue compared with 71% in Q3 2005.


Europe

 

Q3 2006
DKKm

Q3 2005
DKKm

Growth in DKK

Growth at CER

Q2 2006
DKKm

Cipralex®

686

557

23%

24%

697

Ebixa®

301

262

15%

16%

303

Azilect®

19

2

954%

955%

17

Serdolect®

3

-

nm.

nm.

2

Other pharmaceuticals

353

463

-24%

-23%

381

Total revenue, Europe

1,362

1,284

6%

7%

1,400

Cipralex® and Ebixa® continue to make positive contributions to growth in Europe, posting growth rates of 23% and 15%, respectively, relative to Q3 2005. Revenue from the two pharmaceuticals was on a level with Q2 2006 due to quarterly variations in prescription activity, wholesaler buying patters and price reductions in selected markets.

At the end of Q3 2006, Cipralex® held 12.2% of total antidepressants sales in Europe, an increase of 32% compared with the same period in 2005. By end of Q3 2006, Cipralex® in terms of volume was the most widely used branded antidepressant in Europe.

Ebixa® commanded 14.9% of the European market for pharmaceuticals to treat Alzheimer’s disease as compared with a share of 13.5% in the same period in 2005. The increase was attributable primarily to sales growth in southern Europe. Memantine, the active ingredient in Ebixa®, is currently the second-most prescribed pharmaceutical in Europe for treating Alzheimer’s disease.

Now launched in 15 countries across Europe, Azilect® represented 2.3% of total sales of pharmaceuticals to treat Parkinson's disease in Europe at the end of Q3 2006.

Serdolect® has been launched in 13 countries in Europe, including Spain and Germany. The Group expects that Serdolect® will be rolled out in most European markets during 2007.

 

USA

 

Q3 2006
DKKm

Q3 2005
DKKm

Growth in DKK

Growth at CER

Q2 2006
DKKm

Lexapro®

479

610

-21%

-18%

435

Other pharmaceuticals

3

4

-21%

40%

-5

Total revenue, USA

482

614

-21%

-18%

430

Lundbeck’s income from sales of Lexapro® in the USA was DKK 479 million in Q3 2006, compared with DKK 610 million in the same period of last year, a decline of 21%. The lower income from Lexapro® was anticipated and was due to the reduction of Forest’s in-house inventories of escitalopram. At 30 September 2006, inventories had been reduced to a level corresponding to approximately 11 months of commercial supply. As a result of a more positive than anticipated trend in the US market, we expect that inventory levels at the end of 2006 will be reduced to less than 10 months of commercial supply in 2007.

In Q3 2006, Forest generated Lexapro® sales of USD 523 million, up 12% on the year-earlier period.

Lexapro® is currently the most frequently used branded antidepressant in the USA. During Q3 2006, generic versions of the former market-leading antidepressant – Zoloft® (sertraline) – were rolled out in the US market. Measured by the total number of prescriptions (TRx), as expected Lexapro® retained its market share of about 19% of prescriptions (TRx) of newer antidepressants.

The number of prescriptions (TRx) for Lexapro® written in the first nine months was up by approximately 7% relative to the same period of 2005. Similarly, the market in terms of the number of prescriptions (TRx) for more recent antidepressants in the USA rose by 6% in the same period. The US market for antidepressants is expected to post a positive trend in 2006 compared with 2005.

Prepayments from Forest recorded in Lundbeck’s balance sheet - the difference between the invoiced price and the minimum price of Forest’s inventories - was DKK 969 million at 30 September 2006 compared with DKK 1,331 million at 30 September 2005 and DKK 1,393 million at year-end 2005.

Lundbeck hedges income from Lexapro® and other products using currency hedging. As a result of Lundbeck’s currency hedging policy, foreign exchange losses and gains on hedging transactions are allocated directly to the hedged transaction. The hedging of the company’s foreign exchange income means that this income is in reality included in the financial statements at the forward rates. The effect on the profit was DKK 4 million in Q3 2006 against DKK -2 million in the year-earlier period compared to a situation where the income is included at the current rates of exchange during the period. Of the total effect, DKK 3 million compared with DKK 3 million in Q3 2005 stems from the hedging of USD. The gain from the USD hedging has primarily been added to income from sales of Lexapro®.

At 30 September 2006, forward exchange and option contracts had been entered into to hedge foreign currency cash flows, primarily in EUR and USD, equivalent to a value of approximately DKK 2.6 billion. Of this amount, DKK 2.2 billion is accounted for as hedging contracts. The average forward rates at 30 September 2006 were for US dollars 591.21 USD/DKK. Deferred recognition of net currency losses and gains amounted to DKK 21 million at 30 September 2006 against DKK -180 million at 30 September 2005 and DKK 34 million at 30 June 2006.

The average forward rate for the first nine months of 2007 for US dollars will be approximately 586 USD/DKK, using the existing hedging contracts. The corresponding forward rate for the first nine months of 2006 was approximately 584 USD/DKK. For the 2006 financial year, the average forward rate for US dollars is approximately 583 USD/DKK.

International markets

 

Q3 2006
DKKm

Q3 2005
DKKm

Growth in DKK

Growth at CER

Q2 2006
DKKm

Cipralex®/Lexapro®

192

136

41%

41%

159

Ebixa®

38

29

31%

27%

34

Other pharmaceuticals

120

146

-18%

-16%

119

Total revenue, International Markets

350

312

12%

13%

311

Revenue outside Europe and the USA rose 12% relative to the year-earlier period. The increase was driven primarily by stronger sales of Cipralex® in several major markets.

Litigation in respect of escitalopram
In July 2006, Lundbeck and our partner Forest Laboratories, Inc. received a positive judgment in the court case against Ivax/Teva and Cipla concerning infringement of U.S. Patent No. Re 34,712 (’712 patent), which covers escitalopram. In November, the District Court of Delaware issued a judgement, which immediately was appealed by Ivax/Teva and Cipla.

Lundbeck is involved in other pending patent trials in the USA, the UK, Australia and Germany.

Lundbeck firmly believes that the Group’s intellectual property rights concerning escitalopram are valid and enforceable, and it remains the policy of Lundbeck to defend its intellectual property rights energetically.

Expenses
Lundbeck’s total expenses, exclusive of net financials and tax, were DKK 1,618 million in Q3 2006, down 6% relative to the year-earlier period and down 16% relative to Q2 2006.

Cost of sales were DKK 372 million in Q3, representing approximately 17% of total revenue, down 3% relative to the same quarter of last year and 15% compared with Q2 2006. Third-quarter cost of sales were low as, unlike in the two previous quarters, they were positively influenced by variation in production overheads allocated to inventories.

Distribution costs amounted to DKK 500 million, a decline of 8% relative to the year-earlier period and a 23% drop compared with Q2 2006. As in Q3 2005, distribution costs were influenced by the fact that major sales promotion activities are mostly pursued in the fall.

Administrative expenses amounted to DKK 322 million, a reduction of 4% compared with the year-earlier period and a 10% drop relative to Q2 2006.

Third-quarter research and developments costs amounted to DKK 420 million, which was an 8% reduction relative to the same period of last year and 14% lower than in Q2 2006.

Research and development costs accounted for 19% of revenue in Q3 compared to 20% in Q3 2005. As previously announced, Lundbeck expects that research and development costs will account for more than 20% of total consolidated revenue for 2006 because R&D costs are kept unchanged in spite of the extraordinary decline in income from Lexapro® sales in the USA in 2006.

Depreciation and amortisation charges, which are included in the individual expense categories, totalled DKK 127 million in Q3 2006, down from DKK 131 million in the same period of last year.

Depreciation/amortisation per expense group

Q3 2006
DKKm

Q3 2005
DKKm

Growth in DKK

Q2 2006
DKKm

Cost of sales

55

40

37%

56

Distribution and administration

23

34

-33%

21

Research and development

49

57

-14%

47

Total depreciation/amortisation

127

131

-3%

124


Share buyback
In August 2005, Lundbeck launched a share buyback programme of DKK 6 billion, scheduled to be completed by the end of 2007. The Programme is being implemented in accordance with the provisions of the European Commission’s regulation no. 2273/2003 of 22 December 2003 (“safe harbour”), which protects listed companies against violation of insider legislation in connection with share buybacks. At the Group’s general meeting in 2007, the Supervisory Board intends to submit a proposal to reduce the share capital by a nominal amount that corresponds to the nominal value of the share capital bought back under the programme.

Once every seven trading days, Lundbeck will issue an announcement concerning transactions made under the share buyback programme. At 30 September 2006, a total of 16,821,203 shares had been bought back, corresponding to a transaction value of DKK 2,257,281,213 and an average purchase price of DKK 134.1910.

Lundbeck’s development portfolio
In October, Lundbeck announced that the Group had initiated Phase I clinical trials with another development candidate from its own research. The pharmaceutical candidate Lu AA44608 is a selective NPY (Neuropeptide Y) receptor antagonist that interacts with one of the main systems in the brain mediating stress responses. Preclinical studies suggest that the compound’s unique mechanism prevents and counteracts the vicious circle initiated by traumatic events and long-term stress often resulting in psychiatric disorders.

Lundbeck also announced that submission of a New Drug Application (NDA) with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) concerning gaboxadol, which is a new pharmaceutical candidate in Phase III clinical development for the treatment of insomnia, is expected in mid-2007.

US-based Wyeth and Belgium-based Solvay, Lundbeck’s business partners in the development of the pharmaceutical candidate bifeprunox, which is in Phase III clinical development for the treatment of schizophrenia, presented specific results from the Phase III studies in October at their annual meetings for the financial community. Solvay subsequently filed a registration application for bifeprunox with the FDA, and Phase III data is expected to be presented at the American College of Neuropsychopharmacology (ACNP) congress in December 2006.

Net financials
In Q3 2006, the Group’s net financial income totalled DKK 20 million compared with a net income of DKK 21 million in the same period of last year.

 

Q3 2006
DKKm

Q3 2005
DKKm

Q2 2006
DKKm

 

Net financials

 

20

21

-32

Net interest income/expenses

16

15

-17

Unrealised losses concerning other investments excl. exchange rate adjustments

-

-

-

Net currency income relating to financial items, specified as follows:

4

7

-15

Net income relating to trading

-5

-2

32

Accounting translation of currency items

9

9

-47

Net interest income, including realised and unrealised gains and losses on the bond portfolio, amounted to DKK 16 million in Q3 2006.

Third-quarter foreign currency translation amounted to an income of DKK 4 million.

Net income relating to trading derives from income and expenses from instruments that do not meet the criteria for hedging and is recognised directly under net financials at market value.

Tax
The income tax expense amounted to DKK 227 million in Q3 2006 against DKK 167 million in the year-earlier period. The effective tax rate was 36% as compared with 30% in Q3 2005 and 37% in Q2 2006. The tax rate for Q3 2006 was due to losses on translation of foreign exchange items and losses in associates.
 
For the 2006 financial year including financial gain from IPO of LifeCycle Pharma, Lundbeck projects an effective tax rate of about 34% subject to unchanged exchange rates.

Net profit for the period
At DKK 630 million, profit from operations in Q3 2006 was 16% higher than in the year-earlier period.

At DKK 630 million, profit before tax rose by 13% relative to the year-earlier period, while the net profit for the period after tax was DKK 403 million, which was 3% higher than in Q3 2005.

Investments
Lundbeck’s total net investments in Q3 2006 amounted to DKK 150 million, down from DKK 205 million in Q3 2005 and DKK 207 million in Q2 2006. In Q3 2006, the Group invested primarily in production and research activities. The roll-out of SAP for the European subsidiaries also affected Q3 investments. 

Cash flows
Lundbeck’s operating activities generated a cash inflow of DKK 555 million in Q3 2006, compared with an inflow of DKK 649 million in the year-earlier period and DKK 135 million in Q2 2006. The free cash flow amounted to DKK 405 million in Q3 2006 as compared with DKK 444 million in the same period of last year. Relative to Q3 2005, the free cash flow is positively influenced by a high operating profit, while the decline in prepayments from Forest had an adverse impact.

Financing activities generated a cash outflow of DKK 369 million, primarily as a result of the share buyback programme. Financing activities generated a cash outflow of DKK 14 million in the year-earlier period and an inflow of DKK 532 million in Q2 2006.
 
Lundbeck's interest-bearing net cash (the Group’s holding of cash and cash equivalents less interest-bearing debt) was DKK 815 million at 30 September 2006 against DKK 2,929 million at 30 September 2005 and DKK 661 million at 30 June 2006. In addition to interest-bearing net cash, Lundbeck has unutilised credit facilities of DKK 2.1 billion.

Unutilised credit facilities consist of drawing rights on the Group’s banks (overdraft facilities) and guaranteed committed loans.

Equity
Equity at 30 September 2006 amounted to DKK 6,475 million compared with DKK 7,894 million at 30 September 2005 and DKK 6,332 million at 30 June 2006. In Q3 2006, return on equity was 6.3% compared with 5.1% in the same period of last year and 2.1% in Q2 2006. The changes in equity are shown in appendix 4.

Incentive plans
Lundbeck has established incentive plans for senior employees and key employees, which are comprised by the provisions of IFRS 2 ”Share-based payment”.

Equity-settled schemes
In September 2005, Lundbeck granted warrants (equity-settled remuneration scheme), which are comprised by the provisions of IFRS 2, to members of H. Lundbeck A/S’ Executive Management and Danish and foreign executives appointed by H. Lundbeck A/S’ Executive Management who are employed by H. Lundbeck A/S or H. Lundbeck A/S’ subsidiaries.

Under the provisions of IFRS 2, this scheme is comprised by the requirement on cost recognition at the date of grant. Accordingly, no regular value adjustments will be made, and the scheme will not affect the consolidated financial statements.

In January 2004, Lundbeck allocated warrants (equity-settled remuneration scheme) to the management and a number of key employees. These warrants are covered by the transitional provisions of IFRS 2, as this scheme was established after 7 November 2002 with a vesting date before 1 January 2005. Under the transitional provisions of IFRS 2, this scheme is not comprised by the requirement on cost recognition and will therefore not affect the consolidated financial statements.

The liability based on the Black Scholes formula was DKK 51 million at 30 September 2006.

Debt plans
In 2002, a share price based plan for employees of the foreign companies was set up, and in 2004 a new share price based plan for key employees of US companies was established.

The value adjustment at 30 September 2006 of the ”debt plans”, including exercised plans, is recognised as a marginal cost in the income statement in Q3 2006. The liability for the debt-based remuneration plans based on the Black & Scholes formula was DKK 8 million at 30 September 2006.

Financial forecasts for 2006 and financial target for 2007
In connection with the initial public offering of LifeCycle Pharma (LCP), in which Lundbeck currently holds 30.5% of the shares, Lundbeck's Q4 profit from operations will be impacted in the amount of DKK 141 million.

In the case that LCP exercises the option for the “Green Shoe” (an extra-ordinary share issue made after the initial public offering) Lundbeck’s share of ownership in LCP will decline from 30.5% to below 30%. This will entail a publication by Lundbeck of the reduced ownership as well as an additional gain recognised in Lundbeck’s P&L and balance sheet for 2006.

Lundbeck retains its expectations of a profit from operations of approximately DKK 1.6 billion in 2006 excluding the financial gain from the initial public offering of LCP and the financial target for 2007 of an EBIT margin of 25% as most recently announced at the presentation of the interim report for the second quarter of 2006 on 16 August 2006.

Financial forecast and targets

 

2006
forecast

2007
Target

Profit from operations

Approx. DKK 1.6bn*

-

EBIT margin

-

25%**

* Excluding the financial gain in Q4 2006 from the initial public offering of LifeCycle Pharma in the amount of DKK 141 million.
** Excluding potential milestone payment of USD 75 million from Merck & Co., Inc.
 
Conference call
Today at 3.00 pm (CET), Lundbeck will be hosting a conference call for the financial community. You can listen to the conference on the Group’s website www.lundbeck.com under the section “Investors – Presentations – Teleconference”.


Forward-looking statements
This announcement contains forward-looking statements that provide current expectations or forecasts of events such as new product launches, product approvals and financial performance.

Such forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and inaccurate assumptions. This may cause actual results to differ materially from expectations. Factors that may affect future results include interest rate and exchange rate fluctuations, delay or failure of development projects, production problems, unexpected contract breaches or terminations, government-mandated or market-driven price decreases for Lundbeck’s products, introduction of competing products, Lundbeck’s ability to successfully market both new and existing products, exposure to product liability and other lawsuits, changes in reimbursement rules and governmental laws and related interpretation thereof and unexpected growth in costs and expenses.
 
Management statement
The Supervisory Board and Executive Management have considered and adopted the interim report of H. Lundbeck A/S.

The interim report, which is unaudited, has been prepared in accordance with the guidelines issued by the Copenhagen Stock Exchange and, in respect of recognition and measurement, has been prepared in accordance with IFRS and related interpretations of International Accounting Standards Board (IASB), which are expected to apply for the presentation of financial statements for the full year 2006.

In our opinion, the interim report gives a true and fair view of the Group’s financial position at 30 September 2006 and of the results of the Group’s operations and cash flows for the period 1 July – 30 September 2006.

Valby, 15 November 2006


Supervisory Board

Flemming Lindeløv

Thorleif Krarup

Lars Bruhn

Chairman

Deputy Chairman

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Kim Rosenville Christensen

Peter Kürstein

Mats Pettersson

Elected by the employees

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Birgit Bundgaard Rosenmeier

William Watson

Jes Østergaard

Elected by the employees

Elected by the employees

 



Executive Management

Claus Bræstrup

Lars Bang

Ole Chrintz

President and CEO

Executive Vice President

Executive Vice President

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hans Henrik Munch-Jensen

Stig Løkke Pedersen

 

Executive Vice President, CFO

Executive Vice President

 


Lundbeck contacts

Steen Juul Jensen

 

Vice President

 

+45 36 43 30 06

 

 

 

Investors:

Media:

 

 

Mads Bjerregaard Pedersen

Caroline Broge

Investor Relations Officer

Media Relations Manager

+45 36 43 41 04

+45 36 43 26 38

 

 

Jacob Tolstrup

 

Investor Relations Manager,

 

North America

 

+1 201 350 0187

 

Stock Exchange Release No 243 – 15 November 2006

 

About Lundbeck
H. Lundbeck A/S is an international pharmaceutical company engaged in the research and development, production, marketing and sale of drugs for the treatment of psychiatric and neurological disorders. In 2005, the company’s revenue was DKK 9.1 billion (approximately EUR 1.2 billion or USD 1.5 billion). The number of employees is approximately 5,000 globally. For further information, please visit www.lundbeck.com


 

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